Comments
Taxpayers’ Wallets Barbecued by Met Office
More than 1,700 staff at the government-owned Met Office have received a lump sum of about £650 each for meeting targets, including improvements to the accuracy of forecasts, totalling £1.1 million. CRN has compiled a list of previous ‘Mystic Met’ Office failures here.
Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction has written to Peter Mendelson:
To: Lord Peter Mandelson MP, Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills,
1 Victoria Street, London SW1H 0ET, Tel 020 7215 5000;
Acting Prime Minister
10th August 2009
Dear Peter,
Met Office bonuses for failure must be curbed. – The Met Office long range & Climate forecast operation should be called to account and put out to tender.
Congratulations on being acting Prime Minister at present, I note following a smaller holiday party in Corfu than last year.
I am writing to ask that you extend your excellent stand against the culture of bonuses for failure – which pervades certain banking circles – to the UK Met Office and have their failed long range and climate forecasting activity called to account and put out to tender.
The Met Office is engaged in tricky reportage to cover-up its total failure in long range forecasts for this summer, last winter, the previous two summers and world temperature trends over recent years and is awarding staff sizeable bonuses at public expense despite repeated failure.
The BBC/MetOffice recent Review** sneakily talks up irrelevant warm (night) aspects of this July in an attempt to cover-up forecast failure. They use day plus night averages which of course go up with relatively mild cloudy nights which come with the wet weather. The Met Office forecast of a ‘barbecue summer’ to any normal person was about daytime temperatures and sun NOT about mild nights due to rain and cloud. In terms of the key parameters – Rain, Day temp and Sun the Met Office were wrong-wrong-wrong. They should cease their cover-up and admit their summer forecast failed on all counts in every month just as they failed on all counts in every month for the previous 2 summers, for the ice and snow last winter and for annual world temperature trends which are in decline contrary to their ideological insistence that they should be rising ‘unstoppably’.
On the other hand WeatherAction were recently in the news following very successful long range forecasts of Britain & Ireland summer deluges 07, 08 & 09, winter 08/09 ice & snow and world temperature trends downwards; in contrast to the Met Offices failure on all fronts.
WeatherAction could do long range weather forecasts for Britain & Europe and extreme events around the world – and world climate forecasts for the next 100 years – for a very small % of the current Met Office / Hadley Centre / University spending on long range weather and climate prognoses and research and be vastly more reliable. We have achieved this power – without state support – through our own tireless innovative Research & Development which will change climate science. Surely it is a ‘no-brainer’ that the Met Office be called to account, and its Long Range & Climate service face open competition and be put out to tender.
For details of our forecasts please see first point in information below and attached. You will note that our WeatherAction general forecast of this summer issued 22 Feb accurately describes what has and is taking place whereas the Met Office effort issued in April shows negative skill and power as did all their long range efforts for the last 5 key noteworthy seasons or world trends*. The Met Office score 0/5 on these 5 key forecasts while WeatherAction’s Solar Weather Technique scored 5/5 and forecasted in detail down to weeks and days from months ahead whereas the Met Office resolution was only over a season without sub-definition. (*Summers 07, 08, 09, winter 08/09 & world temperature trends over recent years).
From your position as Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills it is important to understand what I said on BBC News 24 about our advances: It is not a matter of technology but of the application of Physics and equations. Just as computer models of the economy fail so does the Met office approach to long range forecasting. We can predict in detail months ahead how solar particle and magnetic effects modulated by Lunar and other factors cause the Jet stream – the tracks of low pressures – to shift. This is the key to weather type prediction for Britain Ireland and Europe.
Thank you for your attention
Piers Corbyn, ARCS FRAS FRMetS
Information
WeatherAction headline summary for summer 2009 issued 22 Feb 2009:- The full issued forecast had 13 more detailed sub-periods and the later month ahead forecasts had 27 sub-periods.
Summer – June, July & August 2009:
Mostly wet or very wet and generally cool and rather cloudy. Some violent thunderstorms and floods. West & North wetter than South & SouthEast relative to normal. Some dry fine spells mainly in South & SouthEast
Summer full summary with sub-periods and detailed June, July & August forecasts attached. Weather Action correctly predicted close to double normal rain for many parts of Britain & Ireland this July, which is what happened.
**July Review: http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/hi/uk_reviews/newsid_8184000/8184135.stm
- “…Provisionally, it was the wettest July on record over England and Wales (in a series from 1914), being slightly wetter than July 2007 and much wetter than July 2008….”
News reports: The Sun, Sunday Times, Daily Mail, Daily Star, BBCNews24:
Weather staff get ‘accurate’ bonus =
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/2578468/Weather-staff-get-accurate-bonus.html The Sun – London,UK Aug6 centre spread – Piers Corbyn, owner of the independent forecasting business WeatherAction, said: “The Met Office forecasts for the last three summers have been completely …
It’s raining bonuses at the Met Office – Times Online Sunday Times front page Aug 9th http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6788803.ece … Piers Corbyn, owner of the independent forecasting business …www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/…/article6788803.ece – Also: http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=3838
It’s raining bonuses over at the Met Office, despite a spate of … http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1205440/Its-raining-bonuses-Met-Office-despite-spate-inaccurate-predictions.html Piers Corbyn, owner of the independent forecasting business WeatherAction, told the Sunday Times: ‘Met Office forecasts for the last three summers have been …
SEE IN THIS ARTCLE: A Met Office spokesman said its targets were verified by the National Audit Office and did not only apply to forecast accuracy (Yes Minister! ) Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1205440/Its-raining-bonuses-Met-Office-despite-spate-inaccurate-predictions.html#ixzz0NoAfRbPY
Reports: BBC News 24 including Met Office /BBC comment & Piers Corbyn’s basic points about the physics of reliable forecasting science in WANews No 49; along with other useful information and links to a New PowerPoint presentation ‘What Does & Does not Cause Climate Change’
29th July 2009 WeatherAction News No 49 = http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=68&c=1 WeatherAction summer forecast success reported on BBCTV 29th July as floods & tornadoes confirm Piers Corbyn’s forecast detail and Met Office admits failure.
23rd July 2009 WeatherAction News No 48= http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=66&c=1 Met Office winter ‘forecast’ 2009-10 attacked as ‘reckless misleading nonsense without scientific basis or skill’. “It should be ignored absolutely. The opposite to whatever the Met Office says in long range has been what happened for the last three years!”
23rd July 2009 WeatherAction News No 47= http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=67&c=1 WeatherAction News 2009 No 47 What Does & Does Not Cause Climate Change and the threat to integrity in science – New PowerPoint Presentation & Letter from Piers Corbyn to Prof Sir Peter Knight, Imperial College Director of Research.
Letters to MPs & ministers including graphs showing general decline in world temperatures this century & links to letters to Gordon Brown 2007 & 2008 re WeatherAction long range forecasts: http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com/pdf/letter_to_ministers.pdf Detailed WA forecasts available.
Letter to UN Sec General 14 July 2008
http://www.tech-know.eu/uploads/Letter_UN_Sec_Gen_Ban_Ki-moon.pdf