RSS Roger Pielke Jr reports that:
A team of researchers under the auspices of the World Meteorological Organization has published a new review paper in Nature Geoscience (PDF) updating consensus perspectives published in 1998 and 2006. The author team includes prominent scientists from either side of the “hurricane wars” of 2005-2006: Thomas R. Knutson, John L. McBride, [...]
More trouble looms for the IPCC. The body may need to revise statements made in its Fourth Assessment Report on hurricanes and global warming. A statistical analysis of the raw data shows that the claims that global hurricane activity has increased cannot be supported.
Read the entire article at The Register: Now IPCC hurricane data is [...]
Roger Pielke Jr points out that: A very important paper was published today by Chen et al. in the open-access journal Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Science (of the EGU) titled, “Quantifying changes of wind speed distributions in the historical record of Atlantic tropical cyclones” (PDF). The paper should go some way toward resolving disputes [...]
“So almost five years after we first submitted our paper how does it hold up? Pretty well I think, on all counts. I would not change any of the conclusions above, nor would I change the reply to Anthes et al. Science changes and moves ahead, so any review will eventually become outdated, but ours [...]
Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2009. United States hurricane landfalls and damages: Can one-to five-year predictions beat climatology?, Environmental Hazards, Vol. 8, pp. 187-200. (pdf)
Abstract:
This paper asks whether one- to five-year predictions of United States hurricane landfalls and damages improve upon a baseline expectation derived from the climatological record. The paper argues that the large diversity of [...]
A NOAA-led team of scientists has found that the apparent increase in the number of tropical storms and hurricanes since the late 19th and early 20th centuries is likely attributable to improvements in observational tools and analysis techniques that better detect short-lived storms.
The new study, reported in the online edition of the American Meteorological Society’s [...]
A new paper has been accepted which documents a newly recognized relationship between a circulation pattern [the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)] and hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean basin. This study illustrates again why a simple climate metric such as the global average surface temperature trend cannot inform us of hurricane activity. Hurricanes depend on regional atmospheric [...]
A new paper has been published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society titled ‘Tropical Cyclone Damages in China: 1983 to 2006″ by Zhang et al. available here in PDF. The paper finds no trends in either tropical cyclone landfalls or in normalized damage.
The paper concludes:
The direct economic losses and casualties caused by landfalling [...]
Tropical cyclone (TC) activity worldwide has completely and utterly collapsed during the past 2 to 3 years with TC energy levels sinking to levels not seen since the late 1970s. This should not be a surprise to scientists since the natural variability in climate dominates any detectable or perceived global warming impact when it comes [...]
Holland and Webster (2007) claimed to have definitively linked hurricane activity to greenhouse gas emissions (pdf). However, a new paper published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) demonstrates that the results of Holland and Webster are statistically invalid. The paper is entitled: ‘Regimes or Cycles in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North [...]
New Booker Book: The Real Global Warming Disaster
Christopher Booker has a new book out entitled: The Real Global Warming Disaster: Is The Obsession With `Climate Change` Turning Out To Be The Most Costly Scientific Blunder In History?
Available from Amazon UK here:
More from Booker himself here. (1)
Why the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets are Not Collapsing
Read the AIG News paper here. (1)
Global Warming Ate My Data
We’ve lost the numbers: CRU responds to FOIA requests.
The Register (3)
Climate Depot's Arctic Fact Sheet
Climate Depot Arctic Fact Sheet (for additional updates on the Arctic see new articles tagged Arctic) (0)
