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The Madden Julian Oscillation – Atlantic Hurricane Relationship

A new paper has been accepted which documents a newly recognized relationship between a circulation pattern [the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)] and hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean basin. This study illustrates again why a simple climate metric such as the global average surface temperature trend cannot inform us of hurricane activity.  Hurricanes depend on regional atmospheric [...]

Tropical Cyclone Damages in China: 1983 to 2006

A new paper has been published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society titled ‘Tropical Cyclone Damages in China: 1983 to 2006″ by Zhang et al. available here in PDF. The paper finds no trends in either tropical cyclone landfalls or in normalized damage. The paper concludes: The direct economic losses and casualties caused [...]

Tropical Cyclone Activity [still] Lowest in 30-years

Tropical cyclone (TC) activity worldwide has completely and utterly collapsed during the past 2 to 3 years with TC energy levels sinking to levels not seen since the late 1970s. This should not be a surprise to scientists since the natural variability in climate dominates any detectable or perceived global warming impact when it comes [...]

Hurricane-Climate Link Statistically Erroneous

Holland and Webster (2007) claimed to have definitively linked hurricane activity to greenhouse gas emissions (pdf). However, a new paper published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) demonstrates that the results of Holland and Webster are statistically invalid. The paper is entitled: ‘Regimes or Cycles in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North [...]

Evaluating Near Term Hurricane Loss Prediction Models

Karen Clark & Company Report Analyzes Performance Of Near Term Hurricane Models Short Time Horizon Appears Inadequate for Predicting Insured Losses BOSTON, December 16, 2008 – Karen Clark & Company, independent experts in catastrophe risk, catastrophe models, and catastrophe risk management, today released a report on the performance of near term hurricane models. The report [...]

False causality between Atlantic hurricane activity fluctuations and seasonal lower atmospheric wind anomalies

A new paper has been published in GRL by K L Swanson entitled: ‘False causality between Atlantic hurricane activity fluctuations and seasonal lower atmospheric wind anomalies.’ The Abstract states: Statistical studies suggest a link between anomalies in seasonally averaged lower atmospheric dynamical fields and Atlantic hurricane activity. Here we show that lower atmospheric seasonal wind [...]

US Hurricane Counts Significantly Related to Solar Activity

There is a new GRL paper by Elsner and Jagger entitled: ‘United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle.’ The Abstract states: The authors report on a finding that annual U.S hurricane counts are significantly related to solar activity. The relationship results from fewer intense tropical cyclones over the Caribbean and Gulf [...]

Multi-Decadal Variability of Atlantic Hurricane Activity: 1851-2007

Another new study has been published that fails to support alarmism about hurricane activity and ‘global warming.’ The ‘in press’ paper is entitled: ‘Multi-decadal variability of Atlantic hurricane activity: 1851-2007,’ by Petr Chylek and Glen Lesins,  Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres (doi:10.1029/2008JD010036) (2008). The Abstract states:  An analysis of Atlantic hurricane data (HURDAT), using a hurricane activity index [...]

Climate Science: No Significant Trends in Tropical Cyclones Since 1690

GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS, VOL. 9, Q08013, doi:10.1029/2008GC002066, 2008 A document-based 318-year record of tropical cyclones in the Lesser Antilles, 1690–2007 Michael Chenoweth 6816 Ducketts Lane, Elkridge, Maryland 21075, USA Dmitry Divine Norwegian Polar Institute, Polarmiljøsenteret, N-9296, Tromsø, Norway Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, University of Tromsø, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway Abstract The most [...]

 

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New Booker Book: The Real Global Warming Disaster
Christopher Booker has a new book out entitled: The Real Global Warming Disaster: Is The Obsession With `Climate Change` Turning Out To Be The Most Costly Scientific Blunder In History? Available from Amazon UK here: More from Booker himself here. (1)

Why the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets are Not Collapsing
Read the AIG News paper here. (1)

Global Warming Ate My Data
We’ve lost the numbers: CRU responds to FOIA requests. The Register (3)

Climate Depot's Arctic Fact Sheet
Climate Depot Arctic Fact Sheet (for additional updates on the Arctic see new articles tagged Arctic) (0)

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