RSSAfter Hurricane Katrina and the amazing season of 2005, we were supposed to see year after year of terrible hurricanes. Where are they? Where is all the death and destruction? We were told global warming was here, and would ignite a fire under the storms, making them bigger and more frequent. Massive hurricanes like Katrina [...]
‘Over the period of 1965–2008, the global Tropical Cyclone (TC) activity, as measured by storm days, shows a large amplitude fluctuation regulated by ENSO and PDO, but has no trend, suggesting that rising temperature so far has not yet an impact on global total number of storm days.’ Wang, B., Y. Yang, Q.‐H. Ding, H. [...]
Dr. Ryan N. Maue’s 2010 Global Tropical Cyclone Activity Update Update: Current Year-to-Date analysis of Northern Hemisphere and Global Tropical Cyclone Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) AND Power Dissipation Index (PDI) has fallen even further than during the previous 3-years. The global activity is at 33-year lows and at a historical record low where Typhoons form [...]
Roger Pielke Jr reports that: A team of researchers under the auspices of the World Meteorological Organization has published a new review paper in Nature Geoscience (PDF) updating consensus perspectives published in 1998 and 2006. The author team includes prominent scientists from either side of the “hurricane wars” of 2005-2006: Thomas R. Knutson, John L. [...]
Roger Pielke Jr points out that: A very important paper was published today by Chen et al. in the open-access journal Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Science (of the EGU) titled, “Quantifying changes of wind speed distributions in the historical record of Atlantic tropical cyclones” (PDF). The paper should go some way toward resolving disputes [...]
“So almost five years after we first submitted our paper how does it hold up? Pretty well I think, on all counts. I would not change any of the conclusions above, nor would I change the reply to Anthes et al. Science changes and moves ahead, so any review will eventually become outdated, but ours [...]
Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2009. United States hurricane landfalls and damages: Can one-to five-year predictions beat climatology?, Environmental Hazards, Vol. 8, pp. 187-200. (pdf) Abstract: This paper asks whether one- to five-year predictions of United States hurricane landfalls and damages improve upon a baseline expectation derived from the climatological record. The paper argues that the large [...]
As I found in Pielke (2007), they also found that societal factors are overwhelmingly dominant in coming years, even assuming a direct and significant relationship of greenhouse gas emissions and tropical cyclone intensity and under a range of socio-economic scenarios. They find that about 90% of the increase in losses to 2015 and 96% to [...]
A NOAA-led team of scientists has found that the apparent increase in the number of tropical storms and hurricanes since the late 19th and early 20th centuries is likely attributable to improvements in observational tools and analysis techniques that better detect short-lived storms. The new study, reported in the online edition of the American Meteorological [...]
A new paper has been published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society titled ‘Tropical Cyclone Damages in China: 1983 to 2006″ by Zhang et al. available here in PDF. The paper finds no trends in either tropical cyclone landfalls or in normalized damage. The paper concludes: The direct economic losses and casualties caused [...]
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New Booker Book: The Real Global Warming Disaster
Christopher Booker has a new book out entitled: The Real Global Warming Disaster: Is The Obsession With `Climate Change` Turning Out To Be The Most Costly Scientific Blunder In History?
Available from Amazon UK here:
More from Booker himself here. (1)
Why the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets are Not Collapsing
Read the AIG News paper here. (1)
Global Warming Ate My Data
We’ve lost the numbers: CRU responds to FOIA requests.
The Register (3)
Climate Depot's Arctic Fact Sheet
Climate Depot Arctic Fact Sheet (for additional updates on the Arctic see new articles tagged Arctic) (0)
