Comments
Japanese Scientists Dispute Man-Made Warming Hypothesis
Japanese scientists have made a dramatic break with the UN and Western-backed hypothesis of climate change in a new report from its Energy Commission.
Three of the five researchers disagree with the UN’s IPCC view that recent warming is primarily the consequence of man-made industrial emissions of greenhouse gases. Remarkably, the subtle and nuanced language typical in such reports has been set aside.
One of the five contributors compares computer climate modelling to ancient astrology. Others castigate the paucity of the US ground temperature data set used to support the hypothesis, and declare that the unambiguous warming trend from the mid-part of the 20th Century has ceased.
The report by Japan Society of Energy and Resources (JSER) is astonishing rebuke to international pressure, and a vote of confidence in Japan’s native marine and astronomical research. Publicly-funded science in the West uniformly backs the hypothesis that industrial influence is primarily responsible for climate change, although fissures have appeared recently. Only one of the five top Japanese scientists commissioned here concurs with the man-made global warming hypothesis.
JSER is the academic society representing scientists from the energy and resource fields, and acts as a government advisory panel. The report appeared last month but has received curiously little attention. So The Register commissioned a translation of the document – the first to appear in the West in any form. Below you’ll find some of the key findings – but first, a summary.
The Register: ‘Japan’s boffins: Global warming isn’t man-made’
February 27th, 2009 at 9:07 am
If the Japanese Scientists are correct, why do Glaciers the world over continue to melt at a consistent rate? The latest information for example:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/02/090225073215.htm
February 27th, 2009 at 5:45 pm
There’s no convincing evidence that CO2 drives climate change, global warming or cooling. There is convincing evidence that CO2 follows temperature and that the current climate hasn’t exceeded natural variability.
Kinematic Constraints on Glacier Contributions to 21st-Century Sea-Level Rise, W. T. Pfeffer, J. T. Harper, S. O’Neel, Science, 5 September 2008:
Vol. 321. no. 5894, pp. 1340 – 1343. DOI: 10.1126/science.1159099
On the basis of climate modeling and analogies with past conditions, the potential for multimeter increases in sea level by the end of the 21st century has been proposed. We consider glaciological conditions required for large sea-level rise to occur by 2100 and conclude that increases in excess of 2 meters are physically untenable. We find that a total sea-level rise of about 2 meters by 2100 could occur under physically possible glaciological conditions but only if all variables are quickly accelerated to extremely high limits. More plausible but still accelerated conditions lead to total sea-level rise by 2100 of about 0.8 meter. These roughly constrained scenarios provide a “most likely” starting point for refinements in sea-level forecasts that include ice flow dynamics.
A News Focus story in Science journal helps to confirm the different climate histories for the East and West Antarctic ice sheets – a phenomenon that persists in modern times:
ANTARCTICA: Freeze-Dried Findings Support a Tale of Two Ancient Climates
A surprising cache of ancient plant material adds evidence for divergent climate histories of the East and West Antarctic ice sheets over the past 14 million years
Excerpt: These findings appear to be contradictory at first glance, but in fact they buttress an evolving view among scientists that the two major features of the continent, the western and eastern ice sheets, have experienced vastly different climate histories. Data from the Dry Valleys reveals an East Antarctic Ice Sheet that is high, dry, cold, and stable, at least in its central area. And the ANDRILL cores suggest a more volatile West Antarctic Ice Sheet that is subject to the changing temperatures of the sea in which it wades. “It reaffirms the fragility of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet [WAIS] and the stability of the central part of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet,” says Peter Barrett, a sedimentologist at the Victoria University of Wellington (VUW) in New Zealand, who advised the ANDRILL project.
We have this PR for a 2008 GRL paper, which has a nice graphic showing regional Antarctic cooling:
http://www.ucar.edu/news/releases/2008/antarctica.jsp
“The authors compared recently constructed temperature data sets from Antarctica, based on data from ice cores and ground weather stations, to 20th century simulations from computer models used by scientists to simulate global climate. While the observed Antarctic temperatures rose by about 0.4 degrees Fahrenheit (0.2 degrees Celsius) over the past century, the climate models simulated increases in Antarctic temperatures during the same period of 1.4 degrees F (0.75 degrees C).”
Clearly climate models over-estimate Antarctic warming by a factor of almost 4, according to Monaghan et al, but the paper confirms a warming West, and a cooling in the majority of the East Antarctic.
From Climate Research News:
http://climateresearchnews.com/2009/01/greenlands-ice-armageddon-on-hold/
http://climateresearchnews.com/2009/01/new-paper-urges-caution-on-extrapolation-of-greenland-glacier-mass-loss/
http://climateresearchnews.com/2008/11/new-papers-on-the-role-of-winds-and-atmospheric-circulations-in-arctic-sea-ice-loss/
http://climateresearchnews.com/2008/10/winds-are-dominant-cause-of-greenland-and-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-losses/
May 28th, 2009 at 12:46 pm
[...] http://climateresearchnews.com/2009/02/japanese-scientists-dispute-man-made-warming-hypothesis/ [...]
December 11th, 2009 at 2:52 pm
yay i hope they stick to their guns… i would hate to see my favorite country voluntarily commit seppaku like the other crazy western countries… but then again i’ve seen some signs of life and sanity… hope we grow a backbone in time. no global dictatorship for me, tyvm.
March 18th, 2010 at 6:56 pm
@StanS: Probably because of “global drying”. Continuing deforestation (like the shredding of Borneo’s rainforests to grow palms for palm oil to make biofuels) is causing the worlds air to become dryer, and the ice is sublimating straight into water vapor. There is some evidence to back this up as snow lines that have receded on certain mountaintops have been accompanied by _falling_ temperatures and humidity.